NEW YORK – (Staff Report from Official News Release) – The final week of NFL training camps proved very little to experts and observers on the field but two teams made history off of it, as the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants each rewarded their most noteworthy players with record NFL contracts.
Green Bay started last week off by signing QB Aaron Rodgers to a $134 million, 4-year extension, a deal that surpasses Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan’s previous record deal by a few million dollars a year.
The New York Giants, not to be outdone, grabbed headlines by rewarding All-Pro wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. with a $90M deal including a guarantee of some $65M and a $20M a year windfall over the first three-years of his new deal.
With those contracts in the headlines this week, the oddsmakers and analysts at MyTopSportsBooks.com took a look at the future landscape of NFL contracts for the three top skill positions. Here are the MTS predictions with notes from MyTopSportsBooks.com’s top-notch analysts:
Quarterback: Benchmark – Aaron Rodgers ($134M extension over 4 yrs; $80M by March ‘19)
- Carson Wentz (Philadelphia): 1/1 [Note: UFA in 2020, one year ahead of Watson; performance speaks for itself so far.]
- DeShaun Watson (Houston): 9/1 [Note: if neither Wentz nor Wilson beat him to a big payoff by 2021, Watson is the best bet, though it’s based on a really small sample size so far and injuries are a huge concern given his reliance on mobility.]
- Russell Wilson (Seattle): 12/1 [Note: UFA in 2020; proven track record, but also relies on his legs and is getting older. Unlikely to sign a six-year deal.]
- Jared Goff (LA Rams): 14/1 [Note: UFA in 2020, but hasn’t been as impressive as Wentz and doesn’t have the same physical tools. His success was a product of McVay’s system; the team knows it and will price him accordingly.]
- Dak Prescott (Dallas): 19/1 – Franchise cornerstone
- Cam Newton (Carolina): 32/1 [Note: Like Wilson, too old and too mobility-reliant to sign a six-year deal that’s worth more than Rodgers’ or Ryan’s]
Wide Receiver: Benchmark – Odell Beckham Jr ($95M over 5 years; ~$65M guaranteed)
- Michael Thomas (New Orleans): 4/1 [Note: UFA in 2020; only making $1.2 M; could become best WR in NFL; only 25]
- Tyreek Hill (Kansas City): 5/1 [Note: UFA in 2020; only making $646K; could be stat monster w/Mahomes; only 24]
- Davante Adams (Green Bay): 8/1 [Note: signed through 2022 but very underpaid at $4.5M & still young (25)]
- Julio Jones (Atlanta): 9/1 [Note: briefly held out this year b/c he wants a new deal; still arguably most dominant WR; age working against him (29)]
- Amari Cooper (Raiders): 18/1 [Note: UFA in 2020, but hasn’t lived up to hype; has to have big couple years, in all likelihood. Age (24) and pedigree (4th-overall pick) working in his favor.]
Running Back: Benchmark – Todd Gurley ($57.5M over 4 years; but only $21.9M guaranteed)
- Le’Veon Bell (Pittsburgh): 1/1 [UFA 2019, but he’ll be 27 then (old for a RB) and Todd Gurley signed a massive deal this year ($57M total); Lev is likely to be the highest paid per year, but might not get more than Gurley in total value, unless you’re just looking at total guaranteed, which we’re not]
- Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas): 11/2 [UFA in 2020; one year younger than Gurley; equally good.]
- David Johnson (Arizona): 6/1 [Note: UFA in 2019 and arguably as valuable as Bell, but doesn’t seem quite as militant about testing FA market or squeezing Arizona for every penny. Plus, he’s three years older than Gurley]
- Saquon Barkley (NY Giants): 19/1 [Not a UFA until 2022, but it’s possible no one beats Gurley’s contact before 2021-22]
- Alvin Kamara (New Orleans): 24/1 [UFA in 2021; might be the new Lev Bell in terms of production]
Sports fans and gaming insiders are turning to the most reliable and accurate odds/information source available online at MyTopSportsbooks.com for analysis.